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Day 18; Progress
Topic Started: Jan 27 2013, 07:09 AM (17 Views)
Austin
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I think Holly and I have played our cards correctly. And we are bolstered by two events:

1. Matty's refusal to play the truth game only comes off as more deception on his part. Frosti doesn't really play either and reinforces his connection to Matty. Lydia and Tanya already believe he's the head of the snake. So this is perfect.

2. Rodger's absence. Sadly Rodger's family has been down with the flu. I know that all too well. But it's bad timing for easily the strongest player in the game. Lydia will make a play to get his idol. So he's gonna stick around a while. I sure wish I could come up with a way to talk to him about it...

We want to win tonight, no question about that. I'd actually prefer a double tribal myself. Matty will eventually figure out how to 'tell the truth' - the really ironic thing here is that I think Matty is loyal to Koblenz. Loyal to his alliance - whatever that is. But everyone thinks he's sneaky. Maybe I did a better job of planting that seed than I thought. But he certainly has presented himself in public in a way that supports the notion that he is the leader and a social butterfly.

On the other hand, I am making deals right and left. Mine are all final twos (and fours by association). I weave half truths and deception in a way that seems open and honest.

Am I really the one everyone thinks is the most honest out here? That's irony. I bet I am the least honest.... Even Marty is more honest than I perhaps.

I need to start talking to Holly about end game - final six - I'll wait and see if I survive the night first.

The intangible is Lydia and the idol. If she gets the other half, we gotta blindsided her. If she doesn't - I'm ready to take her to three to make sure I get the final two if it goes that far. Think Lydia.... Leave Rodgers idol alone. You are in a much better position without it. I promise...

I'll let you make that decision for yourself - but you get the whole idol and I'll make sure both halves are taken out of the game.

You got final 3 if you leave it alone.... I'm just sayin'.

Final six order projected before has multiple paths now depending on the idol coming together...

6. Kim (her game is far too good - she is a PRO)
5. Tanya (gotta keep numbers in my favor, but bringing Tanya past Kim gets full belief from Lydia)
4 and 3. Lydia and Holly (depends on what Lydia does after Tanya goes)
2. Erinn (I'm still inclined to hold onto this)

I love Kim and Holly and Lydia and Erinn. They are all amazing allies to have. If I keep each of them believing in honest, this could work.

Option 2 (Lydia gets the idol - this option is scary because I don't think my numbers are as solid.

And I really need to think on this. If my plan is to take her to three, what do I care if she has an idol. It would be useless as she'd never need it.....

But, just for fun...

7 or 6 Lydia blindsided
6 the farthest Lydia can go
5 Tanya (she's of no use if I don't have Lydia - and let's be honest - she doesn't trust me)
4 in the 'girls' alliance - I have no idea right now. I love them all. The only justification is if there was a final three I'd only piss off one of them.... (until they read this)
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Austin
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Weird - no messages since this morning....

I think we'll be ok. Tanya isn't going to be here so she won't be able to throw the challenge. So that just leaves Lydia and I think she's too competitive to not try.

So hopeful the Erinn and Kim can successfully throw the challenge.

Though, I have to say - it won't hurt my feelings to go tonight. Matty's silence says he's definitely playing to stay - and I'm not a part of that picture.

This is going to come down to who has the better relationships with Kim and Erinn and with Lydia and Tanya.

I sure hope it's me....
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Austin
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Hope my numbers hold up...

Rodger is asking Lydia to take me out.

The question is, has Matty talked to him - I have to think yes.

There are three votes coming my way.... And hopefully four votes going his....

Only time will tell...
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Austin
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I LOVE MY GIRLS SOOOOOOOO MUCH. One of those two has Peanut Butter. And they sat on it - refusing to make the match.

They are gonna throw the challenges as I suggested. And we aren't over here.

KOBLENZ BLITZ!
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