| Second day of the merge | |
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| Topic Started: Jul 27 2017, 08:46 AM (25 Views) | |
| Bubba | Jul 27 2017, 08:46 AM Post #1 |
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Since tonight is our first tribal council with our new merged tribe (Brehon), I'm feeling more vulnerable than ever. As I said in my last confessional -- on paper, Dubliners have the numbers to eliminate the Limericks. But whether everybody will actually stick to that plan is a palpable fear I have running through every cell in my body. Julie, Sierra, and Cirie are the obvious targets for our voting bloc. Let's examine each of them: Julie is gutsy. She's approached me with friendly banter, and then gradually segued into feeling me out for whatever information I would give up about where the game's direction is going, in terms of the presumed majority's numbers. I consciously refrained from telling her anything about the dynamics of any of my allies who are still in the game; I felt that was the safest precaution I could take. I can't discount the possibility that she is trying to create fractures between ex-Dublin members, searching for an opening that she/Cirie/Sierra could exploit. It's also possible she just wants to make it to the jury, at this juncture, and wishes to keep herself alive for as long as she's able to. So she could be either a "mastermind" or a "temporary floater." Diane implied that we might give Julie the benefit of the doubt (compared to Sierra and Cirie and possibly Amanda), for now, at least. Sierra, on the other hand, has brought up no real game talk with me. She probably figures that's the safest strategy for her. And I have to admit: I find Sierra to be extremely endearing and would love to have her around for as long as possible. I have seen no red flags from her...although I'm sure that she's talked with Cirie and Julie about what they can do to try to puncture the alliance that they must assume has formed amongst Dubliners. Cirie FINALLY messaged me, this morning. She's taking an approach that's more similar to Sierra: bright, bubbly, good-natured. A handful of us were talking, last night, about voting her out. Her personality would make that a tough decision. Honestly, at this point I'd love to see a jury of ten...or even a jury of nine with a Final Three. But I realize that a Final Two with an odd-numbered jury is the easiest scenario for FTC, logistically speaking. Brooke and Amanda are the temporary question-marks, at this point. Brooke SOUNDS like she's glad to be back with the Dublin alliance. Amanda has hinted that she also is, but she's been less forthright about it (at least, with me) than Brooke has. Even if Brooke/Amanda joined with Sierra/Julie/Cirie to target another of us, they would still need to flip one more person to force a tie and possibly a rock-draw. And *if* this is the last elimination before the jury phase begins, that would be the WORST possible way for the eliminated player to go out. That's where I have my worries about Diane, which I'll get to in a moment. I noticed Todd got online fairly late, last night. He didn't get a chance to talk to me...so either he's avoiding me (which makes me worried), or he just figured that he and I are so tight that he can get around to messaging me later this afternoon. Zeke, Ozzy, Rudy, Joel, and Diane had all at least made it a point to message me, yesterday. But, going along with that: it's so easy to forget that real-life can get in the way of people's ability to be online. When I don't hear from someone, for whatever reason -- and then I see a bunch of people logged in at the same time, along with zero messages in my own inbox -- it makes me believe they're conspiring against me. And yes, I realize that everybody has to be logged in at some point, and that's going to cause people who may not even be corresponding with each other to appear logged in simultaneously. With so many people on the tribe right now, that practical reality doesn't make me any less fearful for the target I may have put on myself. The sad part is, since we're hours away from the first immunity challenge and the next elimination, there's a limited amount I can do to reverse course on any mistakes I may have made with any of them. So that brings me to Diane. On the one hand, a first glimpse at our conversations would suggest that she's still solid with me and Rudy as allies. But, last night, when I was messaging Diane and casually (in passing) used the word "clusterfuck" as a descriptor of the situation I want us to AVOID (e.g. somebody, or several somebodies, deciding to ChaosKass the group and flip to a Limerick-based voting bloc, or forcing a tie and a rock draw, or basically playing us like the Foa Foas played the Galus in Survivor: Samoa), I could tell that Diane was a little taken aback at my language. To add to that: she didn't really message me for the rest of the night. Granted, I realize there are plenty of other people in our theoretical alliance, so she can't spend all of her time chatting back-and-forth with me. I'm hoping that's what it was: strategy talk between her and other Dubliners, where Diane is making sure to engage all members of our alliance equally. My fear is that it's a sudden coup, where Diane has doubts about me and there's talk of eliminating me very early-on so that I can't "play people against each other" down the road. When I sent a new message off to Diane this morning, I joked about washing my own mouth out with soap, which I hope she will take as a joking apology for my use of the word "clusterfuck" last night. Here's the thing about Diane: I sense some hesitance, tentativeness, and parsing of words some of the time in her language. It reminds me very much of a specific someone who I encountered the last time I played. And it makes me nervous, because that person helped to seal my fate. And, if that isn't already heady enough: I have the sinking suspicion that "Diane" might be that exact same person, once again, this time around. So, as we get ready for the first individual immunity challenge: am I confident about my own safety? Not. One. Bit. |
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| BROBST | Jul 27 2017, 12:52 PM Post #2 |
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Thanks for informative updates, bro! And obviously, whether I'm crystal clear on merge dynamics or if I'm utterly confused at how things play out....... I appreciate the info since #InformationIsKing. |
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2:35 AM Jul 11