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Coolstandings.com
Topic Started: Sep 11 2008, 01:41 PM (130 Views)
KeepTheFaith
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This ShiT Go!!!!
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For those wondering about their team's real odds for making the postseason...

http://www.coolstandings.com/baseball_standings.asp?I=1

Quote:
 
How do we calculate these statistics? Basically we simulate the rest of the season millions of times, based on every team's performance to date and its remaining schedule. We then look at how many "seasons" a team won its division or won the wildcard, and voila - we have our numbers.

The trick, of course, is to determine what chance each team has of beating every other team. Our method is to use simple team statistics (e.g. runs scored and runs against) to predict how each team will fare against all others. For those of you familiar with baseball prediction, we use a variation of the Bill James "Pythagorean Theorem" to predict results.
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