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Johnny's Rants and Raves; Confessionals duh.
Topic Started: Jun 27 2013, 05:56 PM (349 Views)
Johnny
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The game is definitely heating up now. Westley is starting to spread shit trying to get people not to trust each other it sounds like. He's saying Adrian and Lucy are "too nice". Dude. It's day 3 and we don't have tribes yet. Of course everyone is going to want to be nice. Then he tells Daniel that I'm shady and he tells me that Daniel is Shady and follows up by saying that he thinks i'm a player and isn't sure that he can trust me.

Dude. What are you doing? This is not smart game play. And now I've got Apollo coming to me asking what I think about him and Buttercup is apparently going to Lucy and asking her what she thinks of me and Westley. Good god this kid is stirring shit up that doesn't need to be stirred and he's buying himself a one-way ticket to loser lodge.

Right now I'm just trying to play nice and be chatty with everyone and make them feel like they can trust me. It'll probably come back to bite me in the ass later but for now when we don't know who will be on what tribes I think it's a wise thing to do and I'll have to worry about any teeth marks in my butt later.
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BROBST
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Do you think people are having a hard time balancing how much is too much to say?

Basically, is the desire for people to start talking game SO GREAT that they're starting to get too loose with the lips?
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Johnny
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Quote:
 
Do you think people are having a hard time balancing how much is too much to say?

Basically, is the desire for people to start talking game SO GREAT that they're starting to get too loose with the lips?


That's a good way to put it. THe first night was really chatty and there was some game talk but the following two days were overall quiet and then last night... boom! People have been nervous about saying too much since nobody knows what tribes we are going to be on and to be honest I can't say that I blame them especially when you have me who is talking to everyone.

So yes. People are getting so anxious and are so desperate to start talking game that they are being far too loose with their information. Now, people could say the same about me as I'm giving some information up too but to get information you must give information and I'm not telling anyone who I'm aligned with or who I really want to vote out. They ask and I say Ivan but really I'd like Maximus to go first if we don't have too many do-nothings on the tribe. Or Westley even. Westley seems to be more of a pot stirrer while Maximus has his clan.

I think Ivan or somebody really quiet like Romeo or Juliet will go first. Westley and Maximus have begun to draw fire to themselves so possibly one of them could go first but I think for this first vote it'd be smarter to go for someone that would be super quick and easy to get everyone to agree to. Maximus has been making friends. Ivan has not. So since we'll only have 15 minutes after the challenge ends it's pretty much going to be whoever is suggested first is gone. Big reason why I don't want to lose the first challenge.
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Johnny
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JEDI TRIBE! YESSSS!

ATREYU - Barely spoken with him thus far so I'm not sure yet what to think of him but I'll have to talk to him more now.

BUTTERCUP - Love her. I can definitely work with Buttercup and move forward.

IVAN - Mr. Russian. If we lose it's safe to say he is gone unless someone else really screws up.

JOHNNY - Oh wait that's me. YAY ME!

Leia - Little bit of interraction but not much yet. But if Ivan goes first and I get with Buttercup and Lucy we're good.

LUCY - <3 <3 <3 My number 1 ally! How perfect that we are on a tribe together! So pumped!
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Johnny
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Also. I am busting up in laughter that Westley is stuck with Maximus and Daniel. Dude is so screwed.

More detailed confessional to come tonight/tomorrow morning. Depends on how chatty the tribe is tonight and whether we win or not.
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BROBST
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So how are things going for you dynamic-wise here on the 2nd day of being put in your tribe?
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Johnny
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Things are going great! I'm in a perfect position on my tribe. Not sure if I'd call myself the number 1 guy at this point but I'm at least the number 2 guy.

Lucy and I are going to stick together. We got an early connection that first night and I think it'll hold strong. At least through this initial tribe portion of the game. Who knows, maybe she could be playing me. Maybe she'll go back to the female alliance come the merge. Maybe she was always closer to Buttercup or Rose than she was with me. In a game like this where all you see is text it's all too easy to lie to someone and make them believe that you are with them.

I hope that Lucy is truly with me but I'm also aware of the fact that she could be playing me. But. This is Survivor. It's a game where you have to be careful of who you trust yet at the same time you have to put your trust in someone and Lucy is that person for me and if at some point in the game I feel that I can no longer trust her or I have proof that she is not truly with me, then I will do what I have to do to vote her out and re-position myself in the game.

But for now. It's me and Lucy. At least that's how I see it. I've been working on people since day 1 trying to get everyone to want me on their side. It's dangerous, because people talk and I've already had people tell me that everyone else has been telling them good things about me so I have to make sure I'm not too friendly with people and I have to make sure that they don't get really upset with me when it turns out I'm not really with them and then when it comes time to vote for a winner they are pissed at me and won't want to vote for me. All that said though, I think my networking at the start has put me in a good position on this tribe. Lucy and Buttercup I'm tight with. Atreyu and Ivan... the roads have started to form but they aren't fully there yet. Leia... Leia is gone first most likely.

But now. Let's take a deeper, more organized look at the tribe shall we?

ATREYU - My chats with Atreyu are still few and far between but I'm taking this that he's a busy guy so I'm not going to hold it against him. Not everyone can have no life like me and be online all day. The key thing is that our chats have substance. You can send 1000 messages back and forth to a person in a day but if all that's in it are fluff then did you really talk to them? I'm liking Atreyu though. Is he going to be my number 1? Nahh. But he can be my number 3 on the Jedi tribe. He's expressed interest in working with me, Buttercup and Lucy, not saying all three names at once but I know he's said it or at least thought it or has at least thought it of me and one of the other two. Yeah. And he's gone on record to say that he would want to vote off either Leia or Ivan first if it came down to it so he's good I think.

BUTTERCUP - My number 2. Buttercup is really sweet and nice. So far. However I do still feel that I don't have the full grasp on where she is coming from in this game. Lucy told me way back when about the females alliance whereas Buttercup hasn't said a peep about it which means she doesn't consider me to be as close of an ally to her as Lucy does with me so I have to be aware of this and consider to myself when the best time to cut her loose will be. I don't think that time will be in this current phase of the game. Maybe if we have a swap that could be a good time to do it depending on who we are on a tribe with then but not until a swap or the merge I think. She may not consider me her number 1, but she does have me high enough on her list that she needs me to vote with her in this tribal phase and I need the same of her.

IVAN - Before the challenge I was anti-Ivan but now he's dropping the Russian schtick, at least in PMs, and is actually talking like a real person which is good. That's what I've wanted from the start. He's also explained to me that he is doing it to draw all the attention to himself and to "shield" his tribemates come a swap or the merge. He claims he wants to play a "positive" game and recognizes that he will probably get voted out early. To be honest he kinda reminds me of Lane playing Austin during Germany where he played the german guy through the whole game except this guy isn't as good at keeping a character as Lane was. I've got nothing against Ivan and he'll definitely survive the first vote on our tribe I believe but will he survive more? Time will tell.

LEIA - Leia has been the quietest overall on this tribe. She lost the challenge for us and apologized blaming her pop up blocker but instead of staying online and trying to integrate herself in the tribe she just disappeared. She's started to resurface now and I've exchanged a couple messages but it's mostly been light. She wants to prove herself though and bring her A game to the challenge and she really needs to because if we lose again it will most likely be her unless someone else royally screws up. I like her, but she's probably in the worst position on the tribe.

LUCY - I love me some Lucy. And no, not the one from the 1950s. Lucy is my number 1, as you already know and the only way that's going to change is if she does something to make me believe she no longer considers me her number 1 or that she no longer trusts me. And that point I have to find someone else I can work with and take her out. For now though I believe she will stick with me. Something I'm coming to realize about Lucy is that while I get a great feeling from her and enjoy talking to her she's not doing a very good job of making others want to talk to her or work with her. I've had multiple people when talking about her describe her as being someone they have mixed opinions on or standoffish and Leia is the most recent person to tell me this. It makes it harder to get people to work with her and myself but at the same time if we are in the finals together they'll be less inclined to vote for her.... unless I've pissed off the entire jury by voting them all out.

If the Jedi Tribe was to lose every challenge Matsing-style this is what I would imagine the boot order to be:

1. Leia
2. Atreyu
3. Ivan
4. Buttercup

And then that would leave me and Lucy to be absorbed by the other tribes.

I've also got thoughts on what I think might happen on the other tribes but I'll do that in a separate post.
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Johnny
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Addendum to the above. At this point Atreyu and Ivan are interchangable on who gets voted out after Leia it will depend on their reactions to the Leia vote and how they perform in challenges. Personally I like Atreyu better but Ivan shows strength so we'll see.

Also on the subject of the voting twist. If I'm in the majority I love it because then nobody can be sure of just how large the majority was and it would be easier to play to the minority that I voted with them when really I just voted one of them out.

If I'm in the minority though... FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF! It makes it harder to know who voted for who because we don't see the actual numbers. Definitely interesting though and it shalll be intriguing to see how people react to it.
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BROBST
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Johnny,Jul 1 2013
02:14:01 PM
To be honest he kinda reminds me of Lane playing Austin during Germany where he played the german guy through the whole game except this guy isn't as good at keeping a character as Lane was. I've got nothing against Ivan and he'll definitely survive the first vote on our tribe I believe but will he survive more? Time will tell.

Very cool that you remember names even though you were just a "Guest" viewer peeking in all season long during Germany last Jan/Feb. :)
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Johnny
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Lane was Austin in Germany
Neil was Rudy in Borneo
Candy was Stacey
Anton was Hatch and.... I think in Germany he was Becky?
Aussie Ben was Greg and everyone was getting "greggled"
And then David who I only recently got to know because he's in the newest Survivor Facebook was Matty.

That's all I remember without going back to look.
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Johnny
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Okay! Bit later than I meant to but now time to talk about what I think could happen on the other tribes. Why talk about this? Why worry about people who I may not have to interact with at all for several rounds? Well because I can and I want to do another confessional and the talk on my tribe has been mostly more of the same other than Atreyu talking to me about working together long-term which is perfect because that means I've got control on the tribe and Buttercup and Lucy like him as well so BOOM foursome.

Anyways. The other tribes.

Starting with the BONSAI tribe. This tribe is going to be divided from the get go. Westley wants Maximus and Daniel gone and they both know it so it's going to be a fight between their two sides. I feel Apollo will lean towards siding with Maximus and Daniel but Trip and Romeo are unknowns in this equation and it's hard to tell what they will do and I feel like if they both side with Westley then Apollo will as well in order to avoid a tie. I think unless someone royally screws up the challenge for them that either Maximus or Westley will be voted out first on Bonsai and it's going to be a battle of alliances. Trip was the most quiet pre-tribes but he started to pick up the talk the final 24 hours. Romeo is on vacation so he's got an excuse for that but it could seriously hurt him alliance-wise in that relationships will have already formed before he can get to a computer of his own and really start to play. I think though on that tribe Apollo is in the best position as he can go with either side and he's the only one of that tribe that I feel is guaranteed to make the merge unless there is a swap or they pull a Matsing.

Now. The KRYPTON tribe. With Adrian already gone from this tribe people just need to form an alliance of three to have majority and if I was a betting man I'd say Marion and Rose are going to be part of that majority. They are both in the women's alliance that Lucy keyed me in on and Rose also has that Hidden Immunity Idol stashed away so everyone will want to align with her. I think the first casualty is going to come down to either Juliet or Laurie. Juliet because she was very quiet those first couple days, at least with me, and didn't really seem to start talking until the last 24 hours much like Trip on Bonsai so that could get her in serious trouble. As for Laurie. Laurie is seemingly apart of the female alliance as well but the tricky thing is all the characters on the Krypton tribe are female so they can't just make that excuse and if any of them realize that Laurie is with Daniel and Maximus then I could easily see them taking her out first especially if Bonsai winds up going to tribal before Krypton and both Maximus and Daniel stay alive. As for who is the most safe on Krypton? I gotta go with Rose and it's because of that Hidden Immunity Idol. It's good for the next three tribal councils and she can use it as leverage to get people on her side and nobody wants to be idol'd out of a game.

Either way things happen it's going to be very interesting seeing who these two tribes vote out and if I was a betting man I would guess that if this was the show they would be the two more entertaining tribes than my Jedi tribe would be, but that's okay. A lot of times the best gameplay is the most boring gameplay to watch.

As the game progresses and these tribes vote people out I will continue to talk about my theories on them as well as give intel on what's happening with my own tribe and with my game.
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BROBST
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Nice to see you taking the time to analyze the other tribes as well :)
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Johnny
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So Ivan broke the challenge. Literally. Don't think Brobst expected that to happen. It's obvious how he did it too. He took the image Brobst gave us and either use the Reverse Image search function on Google or used Tineye to reverse image search the image found a site with the answers and then boom.

More to come later.
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Johnny
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So after the challenge things pretty much became dead again. I talked with Atreyu and Lucy some amazed at Ivan's way to win the challenge and then also laughing at Leia and her mad scrambling and then we win the challenge 5 minutes in. She has no idea that she is still the target. I am a tad bit worried that the ladies could stick together but I have confidence that at the very least Lucy won't be on board with it and will vote out Leia when the time comes.

There's been a little talk about who to vote after her. Atreyu or Ivan. Buttercup wants to keep Atreyu. Lucy wants to keep Ivan. Personally I think Atreyu is more equipped to play the game overall this time and so he can be better to strategize with and to help get things rolling and flip the game around if we need to. Ivan on the other hand is essentially a shield for the rest of us and so long as he is in the game the other tribes will want to vote him out before the rest of us because he's pissing them off. However. If they are smart they'll see that that's all he is and he can go whenever and they'll vote us out before him anyways. And also, yeah he could be a shield which could be helpful if we're in a minority but even then it's only one vote and if we use him as a shield we'll still be in the minority anyways. Yes, playing things round-by-round is a good way to play but you can't be too short-sighted. It's a balance.

I'm not playing this game to land on the jury, I'm playing it to win. I realize there's a good chance I won't because eventually I'm going to have to vote out people who I have deals with and that's going to leave them less than pleased with me and I'll have to give a damn good final tribal performance if I want their votes at the end. The trick there is that a lot of times people's minds are already made up and the people who are the most angry at you won't give you their vote regardless but you can't just blow them and their questions off or else the other jurors will see that and react less than kindly to it.

Personally I do think it's a bit early to think about FTC. Right now I'm more concerned on surviving till the merge and coming up with scenarios of who I can work with to go further beyond that point but I can't come up with a bunch of solid plans yet because I am going to need people from the other tribes. That's a fact. But there are still at least 4 people to be voted out before any kind of merge happens and possible 6 more. Depends on if we merge at 12 or 10 and I can't remember if Brobst has had a pattern with merges so I'll have to look into that later. But yeah. There's still at the very least 4 more people who are going to be voted out before the merge so to make solid plans now is foolish because we have no idea who will even make it to that point.

I'm hoping tonight is a quiet night again as I'm going to be playing guardian over a fireworks tent all night and won't have internet access so we'll see how that works out. Worst comes to worst I've got my phone and it'll just take me insanely long to type.
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BROBST
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Curious if you've ever seen this video before. It's a must watch for any Karate Kid fan! :D


*SWEEP THE LEG, JOHNNY*


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