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From Beyond the Grave; Random Ongoing Thoughts
Topic Started: Jul 22 2011, 11:07 AM (28 Views)
Shane
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As much I want to think James made a mistake by flipping, and as much as I was glad to see that one of the Y6 was voted out, I'm not entirely convinced that James and the Y5 are out of this.

If James basically took RuMa's place, reforming the Y6, that still makes it 8-6...and I could completely see Frank flipping to join James. If it's a merge at 10, and each side loses two people, have a feeling it's going to be Ace, Jamie, Teresa...and Crystal. The trick is 1) Ace or Jamie letting on that James flipped...because the other tribe may have no idea, setting up James to be the perfect mole; 2) the Old Katorgans bonding closely with Frank, so he would not want to flip to join James and the women; and 3) Deena holding strong, if she sees Crystal get voted out, and not running back to join the women.

A nice balance would be New Yenisei losing one challenge (and unfortunately having to get rid of Jamie or Ace) and New Baikal, losing three...and getting rid of Teresa, Crystal...and Coach (they need to get rid of Coach to prove their loyalty to Deena, and keep her close).

Just some random thoughts from beyond the grave.
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Brobst
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Thank you for even having a more interesting Confessional after getting voted out than some have had while they were in the game. :D
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Shane
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Well, it's kind of why I like reality competition shows. I get my roommates hooked on them, and then always pause to give commentary on strategy, etc. But I do get so wrapped up in the social game, I find it hard to betray anyone I've formed a social connection to. At times like that, maybe it pays to be able to turn off the emotions and play the game like an automaton.

(Resisting...urge...to mention...names...)
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Shane
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Topic: Old Baikal's plans if we lost the last tribal Immunity Challenge

Situation: It was down to Colby, James, Frank, Mike and myself. We were entering the F11 Immunity Challenge, and (assuming we'd be merging at 10), we REALLY needed to win this one, so we went in with even numbers.

At this point, I was trusting Frank the least...he was very chatty on The Mountain, and he had Final Two offers extended to both me and Colby. And he was suddenly starting to get closer to Mike (according to Mike).

So, James, Colby and I were all ready to vote out Frank if we lost that last challenge, but the trick was getting Mike on board. We didn't want to vote out Frank and not have Mike clued into the plans...because that would be a recipe for flipping disaster at a merge (been there, done that). But we also didn't want to get him completely on board if we WON the challenge, because then we'd want to keep Frank tight with us...and I wasn't sure if I could trust Mike to keep our feelings to himself.

So, I drafted a lengthy email, with the plan that I'd send it via PM if we lost. Luckily, we won. I've still got that email in my Inbox, so thought I'd paste it below, for the sake of posterity:

Quote:
 
Hey, Mike...

Typing this up before the challenge takes place, and hoping hoping HOPING I don't have to send it.  Been going around and around on what to do tonight if we happen to lose the challenge.  And to be completely honest...my mind has been on Frank for several reasons (which I'll get to).  But I know you said you'd grown much closer to Frank over the past week or so, so I didn't want to bring this up if I didn't need to...no need to start being divisive before a merge if we win the challenge.  So that's the main reason I haven't brought it up earlier (plus, you're primarily around during Challenge time).

Earlier this weekend, I got a note from James about Frank...and he (COMPLETELY unprompted) started echoing some of the things I was thinking.  First, if it comes down to Frank vs. Colby, we both trust Colby more.  If we merge after this...Colby won't flip.  I'm pretty damn certain of that.  And we need to be four strong against their six.  But Frank...he has been spending a LOT of time on The Mountain, chatting to the other team.  Much more than he has been chatting to OUR own tribe, lately.  That's dangerous.  And suspicious.  I have more faith that Colby will hang tight with you, me and James than Frank would.  Also, earlier this weekend, it sounded like Frank was pushing for James to go which I just can't get behind...you and James were part of my original alliance, man, and I want to keep that together.  (NOTE: Since I typed this, I heard from Frank, and he said he wasn't targeting James..so...Colby?  Or me?  Or you?  Again...no idea...because he did say to me that he trusts James the least of all of us).

Finally, I'm getting the sense Frank is telling different stories to different folks.  You told me you two have been getting closer, but then Frank tells me this weekend he hasn't chatted much with you at all, and doesn't know what to make of you...so either he's misleading you or he's misleading me.  PLUS...Colby confessed to me that Frank offered him a Final Two deal...and was uncomfortable with this because he said he trusts the rest of us three more than Frank (yes, including you, so you must have made a good impression on him, despite you having said you haven't chatted much). Remember that WTF feeling we had when Sarge offered us an alliance?  Sounds like Colby is feeling the same thing now with Frank.  And finally...Frank recently told me he wanted to make it to the end with me.  He didn't use the words Final Two, but it sounded like what he'd offered Colby.  I also didn't know what to make of this...knowing I felt closer to you, James and Colby.

So, I'm thinking tonight that I am voting for Frank.  I'm going to check right before the challenge if James is still on board, and same with Colby (I should know by the time I send this...I hope!).  So hoping you'll be on board with this...got a feeling we're merging tomorrow, and if us four are splintered, it's gonna be that much easier for them to pick us off.

Sorry for the length, Mike...but wanted to clearly spell out WHY I was feeling this way.  I won't hold it against you if you vote differently, because you'll DEFINITELY be here tomorrow.  That much I'm certain of.  My own fate is a little less certain...can't help but feel vulnerable at Tribal Council.  But if I'm still here, I'm looking forward to pooling our intelligence on the Katorga tribe to figure out a way to pull ahead.

Are you on board, bro?
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