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♦ Pre-Game Commentary ♦
Topic Started: Mar 9 2014, 02:39 PM (414 Views)
GaGa
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[align=center]So without having Smuffy, Chad or T18 as my cohosts, I am not sure if anyone will actually do this, lul So I am going to try to do it this week, I haven't done pre-game writeups for any of my games in legit years or something, so I should really do it and I will make time for it.

I am going to finish avis and send out confirmations today, so once I get avis made to make it prettier I'll take a shot at this shit. If the rest of you feel inclined to do this, bet my guest. <3


♦ TADHANA ♦

Brad - notremojo
Caleb - Paris Hilton
Ciera - bjorkrazy
Hayden - Chad
John - cards
Katie - mistresstara
Laura B - Lallama12
Marissa - FDE
Rachel - spragenspelt
Vytas - Mikester


♦ GALANG ♦

Aras - ztar
Candice - Smuffz
Colton - Teighteen
Gervase - goo
Kat - Yope
Laura - MP
Monica - Melanie
Rupert - author999
Tina - ILT
Tyson - Taterman
[/align]
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Yul
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I'll bet your guest. <3


[align=center]Eeek. I have to say that this is a pretty strong cast overall with no real, obvious weak link(s) which means there are going to be a ton of hard boots in this. But anyway, I'm going to give this a go to see how wrong I'll be at the end of the day.

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Aras (Ztar) // Vytas (Mikester)

Hmmm....I think of all the teams, I'm most interested in seeing how these two work together. I'm not sure what their history is outside of the few games I've seen them play together (BB15 :<3) and I know Ztar played for him in Buffy, but is their bond as tight as some of the others? I generally like Ztar in everything I've seen him in and playing with him can be pretty fun. I hope he continues to be righteous and entertaining. I'm a little more lukewarm on Mikester. If this game took place two years ago, I'd probably put him at the top but the past few games I've played with him, he hasn't been the amazing player I know he is. I hope he has a better wifi connection now and the Asians aren't stealing it all. :cry
Who will make it further?: Aras


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Candice (Smuffy) // John (Cards)

Alol. This will probably be one of my favorite teams just based on ID :<3, but Smuffy playing Candice is just...so interesting. I can't wait to see if that entails a shtick or just some completely random type of Candice. Even if he was John and Cards was Candice, it would still be kind of weird for me. I have no doubt both will be able to do well here. Cards should be in the endgame for sure, and maybe this time he'll win? He's been on a hot streak lately, so why not add a third to his resume. This is also a rep where he can sort of go on cruise control too, because it doesn't really require a lot of flashy gameplay. Candice will probably drive some people up the wall if she goes into analyzing things, so it'll be interesting to see how John works both with and around that. I'll be watching them closely.
Who will make it further?: John


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Colton (T18) // Caleb (Paris)

Oh god. I absolutely loathe Colton. It's not even the racist, stupid shit either. He's just so grating and obnoxious and T18 is playing him? :cry Oh well. I get it. It's a total T18 character and he would want to play him, and maybe this will finally be my chance to hate T18 in something since I have legit never hated him in anything as a player, co-host or lurker. I need to get over that bias and this might finally be the chance. Phew. I have no idea with Caleb since I have never seen Paris play or know anything about his style but with T18 by your side, you can't really go wrong. I will still predict Caleb to go early though which will fuel Colton even more to knock out the loved ones.
Who will make it further?: Colton


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Gervase (Goo) // Marissa (FDE)

Goo will probably troll, and be an early boot. I guess there might be some incentive here to help FDE, but FDE can be trolly as well. I was sort of impressed watching Thor from afar though and I like FDE so I'm hoping he does well here, but I just don't see it for some reason. I see both of them being early boots.
Who will make it further?: Marisa


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Kat (Yope) // Hayden (Chad)

Seeing Chad play makes me sad I didn’t because I always wanted a second chance just to see if we would have been allies, or gone the way of Glatacus. Chad is obviously very good at ORGing so I have no doubt he’ll go very far in here. And I'll be rooting for him with an obvious bias as well. Shoot me. But like T18, I hate his rep. I know this has nothing to do with Survivor, but I hated him on Big Brother and he's just so dull and nothing like Chad. But whatever, nitpicking. I have nothing but good opinions of Yope as well. The few times I’ve co-hosted him, he seems to always get the short end of the stick, and even in Marvelous, he kind of did too. This team will likely end up being one of my favorites though just because they’re probably both chill and I like that they both don't seem to be among the players who manufacture drama just to be interesting and/or entertaining. I'm rooting for them probably the most collectively?
Who will make it further?: Hayden


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Laura (MPeé) // Ciera (Bjork)

Oh boy. Normally I’d just put MPeé in the shitty/inactive category, but he’ll probably put in a lot of effort here since Bjork is going to have to count on him to some degree. They’re both naturally witty and hilarious so I expect them to deliver hardcore here, and probably be one of the more entertaining teams. I almost feel like their reps don’t match though? I think I told Gaga this, but I see Bjork being more of the OTT, religious type whereas MPeé tries to play off this innocent child shtick. So that'll be fun. I expect nothing from greatness here though and MPeé being his righteous self will make me love Laura even more. I just hope Odyssey wasn't his one game for the year. Even if Laura slips up somewhere, she can always win her way back in too so I see no reason why both don't make it to at the least the jury stage.
Who will make it further?: Ciera


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Monica (Melanie) // Brad (Notre)

I like this pair. It's such a throwback team too from when I first started ORGing. I've always liked Melanie when I played with her...Victoria, Pepper and even Nan. I have no idea how she'll do though because there are going to be a lot of strong personalities on her team with Laura, Colton, Candice and Aras so that might hurt her because I know Melanie isn't one to really go OTT like all those people can. If she can overcome that, Monica will be fine. She's pretty loyal too from my experiences which is always a plus. Brad will be hit or miss. He'll definitely be good for challenges on that side so that could save him, but I know Notre sometimes decides not to show up so who knows. He will have to be a hardcore social player though since he has people like John and Hayden on his side. I've been looking for a chance to root for him though after Bobby Drake :<3, so hopefully he pulls through and impresses.
Who will make it further?: Monica


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Rupert (Author) // Laura (Llama)

Did Author pick Llama? Weird, because everything I've seen Llama in...he sucks. I mean, even someone like Daredevil who I liked in Marvelous...you could see he wasn't going to last that long and he was on a really laid back tribe too. I think that's a terrible choice and it will bite Rupert because Laura will be gone early, especially with a cast of this magnitude. Have his boot avi ready to go, Gaga. I do love Author though :<3, so I hope Rupert is able to hang in there and perhaps without the threat of his partner in, maybe he can use that to his advantage. I have nothing but positive experiences with him, so he will do well here or I'll defriend him. I also really hate Rupert though, so lol at all of my favorites picking shitty reps. I can't.
Who will make it further?: Rupert


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Tina (ILT) // Katie (Tara)

PLEASE don't be lesbians, or have Katie go down on Tina. I have seen that from Tara in the past 4-5 games (Cassie/Sketch, Hayden/Moira, MaryAnn/Nora, Cordelia/Misty, Elektra/Sue) I played with her, and it's such a turn off and makes me want to throw up and I will if she does it in this game since they are mother and daughter, something Tara probably doesn't even realize. By the way, did ILT seriously pick Tara over me? I hope she's out first for that. But Tina should have no problem here. She's a social goddess and ILT can deliver, so she'll go the distance. That won't be surprising. Tara can be hit or miss. I think I was talking to Gaga about this as well after AHS, but Tara has the capability to be amazing and she still has her moments but she needs to read some of the feedback. She'll annoy people endlessly with her long novels and will fuck-up on the counting tiles challenge. There won't be an Arc Reactor to save her this time though.
Who will make it further?: Tina


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Tyson (Taterman) // Rachel (Spragen)

Taterman is a social king, so he should do well here although like Tara, I can see his PMs getting on the nerves of people like Laura, Aras, Colton, etc. I hope he got his keyboard fixed though because that excuse won't fly with this crew when he messes up on challenges lul. I'm mixed on how he'll do here just by looking at the makeup of the tribe. I can see an obvious alliance forming and he's left out. If people ID him, he's totally fucked because they know his history too so he better hide that. I know nothing of spragen but apparently he's really good and goes far in a lot of games but because I have no experience with him personally, I can't predict good things for him.
Who will make it further?: Rachel


Projected Boot Order:

20th: Laura (Llama)
19th: Gervase (Goo)
18th: Marissa (FDE)
17th: Caleb (Paris)
16th: Katie (Tara)
15th: Vytas (Mikester)
14th: Brad (Notre)
13th: Monica (Melanie)
12th: Kat (Yope)
11th: Rupert (Author)
10th: Tyson (Taterman)
9th: Laura (MPeé)
8th: Candice (Smuffy)
7th: Rachel (spragen)
6th: Aras (Ztar)
5th: Tina (ILT)
4th: Ciera (Bjork)
3rd: Colton (t18)
2nd: Hayden (Chad)
Winner: John (Cards)


Obviously this is really lopsided with the loved ones being absolute garbage in the beginning, but than having the Vets turn on each other at the merge, paving the way for their victory at the end. I know I'm also not factoring in RI here, but this is just a ~finalized~ boot order after all is said and done.


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Projected Season Storylines:

*Colton refuses to use terms of endearment, showing how emotionally cold he is
*Laura threatens a teammate, probably Colton
*John gets fed up with Candice over-analyzing certain things
*Laura tries to form a female alliance and recommends Ciera do the same on her tribe
*Tyson is the one Vet that flips on his team, causing a domino effect
*Colton is accused of being a whiny bitch approx. 156 times (not counting FTC)
*Ciera and Kat have some long-term rivalry on the public boards
*When Caleb is voted off, Colton has this insane reaction and promises to end the lives of everyone on the "loved ones" side
*Despite being a married couple, John and Candice find it *awkward* to flirt with each other
*Aras and Vytas turn to incest, but will Tina and Katie beat them to the punch?
*Hayden and Kat's relationship comes off more as them being just friends, fueling rumors Kat is a dyke
*Laura irrationally targets Candice at some point, causing Gaga to consider cancelling the game
[/align]
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GaGa
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I love that you did this and put in the "Who will make it further?" part, I will do that too. <3

Also, I will install emotes here and edit your post so they show up when I do. yw
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John Kenney
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This starts tomorrow night, right? I'll have to do this soon so people can see just how bad I am at predicting these things.
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Vecepia
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[align=center]~V's lazy Prediction Pyramid~

Posted Image[/align]

Not much to add. Having never seen Paris play I bumped him up a row because Colton is like the only person I can see switch out with their partner if/when Caleb gets votes out because he's A, able to dominate RI; and B, going to be fed up with his tribe. So I switched him with Kat, because Yope is hosting his own game and idk how well that bodes for him.
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GaGa
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That is amazing. I love how it only needs little commentary <3
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Yul
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Vee doesn't have much faith in her own race. smh.
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Vecepia
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Um, no? The bottom five will be the final 5, I thought that was obvious.
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Jeff Kent
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PRE-GAME PREDICTIONS:

1. Ciera
2. Katie
3. Marissa
4. Hayden
5. John
6. Laura B.
7. Rachel
8. Caleb
9. Brad
10. Vytas
11. Laura M.
12. Candice
13. Tina
14. Kat
15. Rupert
16. Aras
17. Gervase
18. Colton
19. Tyson
20. Monica

A returning player will ~NOT~ win this time!
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Ami
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Okay here we go...

[align=center]Posted Image & Posted Image

Aras (Ztar) // Vytas (Mikester)

I have no idea what the dynamic with these two will be lul. I guess they must have requested each other so they can't hate each other or anything. Nothing really to go off there, but I think individually they might have the opposite problem in this game, that is to say Ztar coming off too strong and Mikester not coming off strong enough. That's what happened to the latter in True Blood, and I've seen that happen to Ztar many times. They are both great players when at their best, but in a cast as stacked as this will either make it very far? Personally idts, I see one being a late pre-merge boot and the other early jury.
Who will make it further?: Aras


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Candice (Smuffy) // John (Cards)

What a wonderful pairing. :<3 ITA that based on IDs alone I am most interested in them. Cards has been on fire lately, and I can easily see him going very far again. I'm curious if he would ever take Smuffy's spot on RI if one of them got voted out. hope he doesn't because how awful would it be to do that and end up in a duel against Colton or Laura or something. Both will do well I think, and I have really high expectations for Cards. With some of the crazy potential shticks and messes on the returnees tribe I think there's an outside chance of a freak accident and losing Candice early, but I think/hope she'll be fine.
Who will make it further?: John


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Colton (T18) // Caleb (Paris)

What another wonderful pairing. :<3 I honestly wouldn't be surprised if they get ID'd right away because they are such an obvious pair and people may expect Colton to be T18. So obviously Colton is making it far and needs to win because Pam was totally robbed, and also because lol if T18 wins back to back BZ Survivor games. I don't think Paris has actually played since Harry Potter? He was my #1 ally there and tragically booted early because of that faggot Neville and the evil Gryffindors. He was also much better in challenges than I thought he would be. How will he do here? Iiam for now, but unless Colton pulls a Samwise then I think he's for sure in for the long run, but Caleb may not be as fortunate.
Who will make it further?: Colton


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Gervase (Goo) // Marissa (FDE)

I think we have our potential first pair to be completely gone. Both can be trolly, and I expect that here. Maybe depending on who else gets booted there's an outside chance Goo could do well on RI, but I don't see either of these two making the merge.
Who will make it further?: Gervase


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Kat (Yope) // Hayden (Chad)

So I've never actually seen Chad play before and I'm quite excited for that. Wouldn't be surprised at all to see him in the FTC or get pretty close. I honestly have no idea how he plays except that he's ridiculously good, so yeah. Yope idfk, but just because the cast is stacked and I need a few early boots in my predictions I'll say he trolls and goes early.
Who will make it further?: Hayden


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Laura (MPeé) // Ciera (Bjork)

Okay if MP is active then I take back what I said about Cards/Smuffy being the most interesting pair because we have that right here (and if MP is inactive then obvs none of this applies). I see both of them making the merge and fucking shit up in general. I kind of hope Laura gets booted early for being a threat and then comes back from RI (which we all know will totally happen, in fact I will call that right now). Bjork will rock this shit as always, and I just pray Ciera isn't too much in character because Bjork is wonderful at everything ORG related, and Ciera...is not. I see them being quite like the real Ciera and Laura, and Laura will probably get voted out post-merge as soon as she loses a challenge. On RI it's anyone's guess.
Who will make it further?: Ciera


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Monica (Melanie) // Brad (Notre)

I have no clue how these two will do. Notre it depends on how much effort he puts in. With a cast this stacked though I need some early fodder so I'll predict he goes early, but I'm more interested in Melanie. I think it would be very easy for someone like her to slip through the cracks and get quite far. I don't know if she'll be allowed in the FTC if she plays her usual strong social game, but she could get close. Of course if she doesn't find her way into a majority or whatever then I think she'll be an early boot too. I hope that doesn't happen.
Who will make it further?: Monica


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Rupert (Author) // Laura (Llama)

I have never played with either of these two, and all I know about them is Llama got caught cheating that one time, and both of them went after me in The Elite II :cry :cry :cry I say early boot x2, with an outside chance of author surprising us. I'm not expecting a whole lot though.
Who will make it further?: Rupert


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Tina (ILT) // Katie (Tara)

I actually like both ILT and Tara, but I'm afraid I'm going to totally hate them here lol. Wouldn't be the first time I've hated either of them in a game. If Katie is anything like Maryann she will be gone immediately because the only reason Maryann survived as long as she did was because of how awful everyone else was. And then Sketch lololol. I would really love for Tara to be "normal" for once, but I'm not getting my hopes up. Tina could do well. I think she may encounter a bit of trouble with some of the other strong personalities on her tribe, and if she finds herself in a pickle it may be tough to get out alive.
Who will make it further?: Tina


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Tyson (Taterman) // Rachel (Spragen)

Taterman could be such a wild card here now that I think about it. He's obviously great socially, and he isn't half bad in challenges either. He won a couple in Skins against some rather formidable competition. I think he may actually get voted out post-merge for being perceived as too dangerous. Spragen I think is hit or miss, and depending on how much of a hit he is it could end up biting Tyson in the ass. I don't think people will want either around for long if they both make the merge, and I could see that happening. Idk, we will see.
Who will make it further?: Tyson



My horrible attempt to make a boot order:
20: Laura B
19: Marisa
18. Brad
17. Rupert
16. Kat
15. Katie
14. Laura M (RI Returnee)
13. Gervase
12. Vytas

Merge:
12. Aras
11. Tina
10. Laura M
9. Colton (RI Returnee)
8. Rachel
7. Candice
6. Caleb
5. Tyson

End game:
5. Ciera
4. Monica
3. Colton
2. John
1. Hayden[/align]
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Hope
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I feel bad for Aras,John,Candice and Rachel having to play with so many ugly people.
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John Kenney
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[align=center]

I am copying Jate because I am too lazy to do my own kind of formatting and I like what he did a lot.

I think this cast is overall VERY strong. I also think this game is going to be really interesting to watch because the loved ones have reason to work together and will have open communication all game. So I think we'll see a lot of cross tribal wheeling and dealing, and like on the real show, I think that dynamics on one tribe WILL impact decisions made in the other group.

I think Galang is overall the stronger group, but both tribes can win challenges and Tadhana has quite a few people who will go deep and might win this game. I hate to sound a lot like Yul here, but it seems like the "Returners" will dominate the early game only to likely fall apart by the end. I doubt we see one tribe just pick the other off here - the family twist is going to really make people want to work with people on the other tribe and that's going to make this exciting to watch.

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Aras (Ztar) // Vytas (Mikester)

This pairing is quite interesting to me. I didn't even realize these two were close? That said, Mikester always seems like someone who dominated three or four years ago and who has had a hard time really finding his spark. Then again, ztar hasn't really done anything in the past 6 months either, so we'll see if these two have some more energy because they aren't burnt out or if they'll just fall out of it. I know Mikester is doing a ranking over on Sucks because he has more free time, so I hope he's here to play. Sookie in Smuff's True Blood game wasn't too impressive, but she was very MOR and that might be a blessing here so long as Vytas can get into the core and ride the game long enough to make a move against the top dogs. I think Aras though has the edge here.

Who will make it further?: Aras


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Candice (Smuffy) // John (Cards)

OMG what a pairing. Smuffz is always one of my favorite players to watch because he's so neurotic and is unpredictable as a result of his intense paranoia. He's always dedicated though and it makes it easy to root for him. Cards has really come into his own and is one of the strongest players out there right now. That said, I can easily see him being perceived as a threat if he shows off his challenge skills. The characters are weird to me too. If anything, I would say cards would be a better Candice and vice versa, so I'm interested in seeing how this all plays out. It might help Smuffz to be someone no one would suspect him to be. That said, I except John to get targeted and Candice to take the fall first as a result, so like Yul, John will last longer.

Who will make it further?: John


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Colton (T18) // Caleb (Paris)

LOL, Teighteen is reprising his role from Kitty's One World game. I think this character match up is perfect for both of these guys and I'm hoping they do well as I know Teighteen is going to kill it in terms of being in character. I could see Caleb getting taken out, but I can also see Colton dying on his sword for him (pull a move like he did in LOTR for example). While I think Colton will be the driving force of this pair, I do predict him going out earlier than Caleb...only to see Colton beat him in a RI scenario. Colton probably won't win, but he will be easily one of the most entertaining and in character players in this game.

Who will make it further?: Colton


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Gervase (Goo) // Marissa (FDE)

I am curious to see how these two play. Goo has been trollier than usual, but if he shows up to play, I could see him doing really well here. His partnership isn't too threatening and he can get away with being abrasive. FDE also doesn't strike me as a Marissa, but who knows. I think this pair might die quickly, but I love when goo actually gets into a game, so I'm hoping that happens here.

Who will make it further?: Marissa


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Kat (Yope) // Hayden (Chad)

OMG, this is easily my favorite pairing in this game and I hope they both make it to the end. Chad is probably the most consistent player to ever ORG (huge claim, but he just has it). He's not usually the most exciting, but he's one of the most insightful and I love watching him play. No matter what Yope shows up, so long as he's active, I will be rooting for him. His real life commitments and his other game will probably interfere here, so he likely goes out before Hayden, but if he can turn in a Logan-like performance, trolling some idiots and making some close allies, I could see him taking this when the game devolves toward the end.

Still though, I know better than to bet against chad. He's just that good.

Who will make it further?: Hayden


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Laura (MPeé) // Ciera (Bjork)

MP better show up and actually play. If he doesn't, he will fuck Bjork over and no one wants to see that happen. I think these two will feed off of one another and they will be one of the most threatening pairs in the game. Ciera will outlast her mother and go on to be a real contender to take this whole game. When bjork is on, she is almost unstoppable and one of the best players around, so I'm hoping that's who shows up here.

Who will make it further?: Ciera


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Monica (Melanie) // Brad (Notre)

Like Yul said, these are our throwbacks. I'm actually shocked Melanie is playing again. She seemed done after True Blood and Marvelous, and I think it's only the allure of working with notre that has drawn her to this game. Both of these players can do very well, and both of them could go very early. I think Monica will want to protect Brad, but Brad will do the same and I think sacrifice for the other will be a huge theme amongst this pairing as they both care about one another and emotions will come into how these two play. I am hoping they get into a loop and go all out here, but I don't see either of them taking this. I think Monica will be savvier, but will either sacrifice herself or lose on RI before Brad, and so she won't technically make it further than him. That said, she'll be intriguing to watch as usual - she's so introspective. And after Marvelous, I'm curious to see how Brad plays this. Notre does well as a loyal ally and his character doesn't really fit that role.

Who will make it further?: Brad


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Rupert (Author) // Laura (Llama)

I see this pair as one which doesn't last very long intact. I think Llama is one of the weaker/more unknown players in the cast, and I think this will spell doom for both of them. Author is a solid enough player, but if your partner's weak here early on, I see the desire to not make waves being reason enough to vote out partnerless people early on.

Who will make it further?: Rupert


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Tina (ILT) // Katie (Tara)

LOL, these two. I think the last few games I've been involved in, both of them have been there and they have gotten along. I am curious to see how they play here. ILT thrives on being MOR, leaning N, while Tara tends to be OTT in some direction or another. I hope they keep it in check and keep their loving and over the top fakeness to one another before it rubs people the wrong way. Both of them are strong players when they are on, but I fear the two of them together will make them quick enemies for other people in the game.

Who will make it further?: Tina


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Tyson (Taterman) // Rachel (Spragen)

Taterman is one of the social greats, and I think he'll be solid on his tribe. He won't win, but he'll do well for himself so long as Rachel can do the same. I know nothing about spragen, so I'm curious to see how she does. I'm giving the edge to Tyson, but I think this pair is very much a dark horse in this thing.

Who will make it further?: Tyson


Projected Boot Order:

20th: Laura B (Llama)
19th: Gervase (Goo)
18th: Rupert (Author)
17th: Marissa (FDE)
16th: Katie (Tara)
15th: Vytas (Mikester)
14th: Caleb (Paris)
13th: Rachel (spragen)
JURY
12th:Monica (Melanie)
11th:Brad (Notre)
10th:Laura M (MPeé)
9th: Tina (ILT)
8th: Kat (Yope)
7th: Candice (Smuffy)
6th: Aras (Ztar)
5th: John (Cards)
4th: Ciera (Bjork)
3rd: Tyson (Taterman)
2nd: Colton (t18)
Winner: Hayden (Chad)



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Cao Boi
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One of the most interesting things about this cast right off the bat for me is the amount of players that I'd call "hit or miss" based on motivation who might end up being more motivated to make this one a hit for the sake of their partners. I like that, because it means there's less of a chance of players like MP who are capable of being awesome but aren't always motivated to be so.

Also I'm disappointed to not see messie and Snoopz as a pair. Its such a shoe in so it sucks whatever caused them to have to pull out happened.

Anyway, here's my shitty ass predictions... I'm literally stealing Jate's format but idc. I added more detail to my boot order. I also took out the who will make it further because I don't want to have to decide that until I do my boot order.

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Aras (Ztar) // Vytas (Mikester)

This is an odd pair to me, I wasn't aware of any personal connection between them. Certainly don't see either of them sacrificing their game for the other. Mikester's the type of player who I could see doing that too for a partner he cared enough about, especially since he's in the "I suck at ORGs now" period of his ORGing career and he may want to sacrifice for the much more motivated ztar.

Anyway Mikester benefits from the fact that he's been placed on the less socially strong of the two tribes, only by a little bit but I could see him maybe just maybe sneaking into the early majority, or at least being in that sweet spot where he's the best liked outsider so he's around when the tribe gets shaken up or manages to survive until the swap. My only "current day" Mikester experience was with Lana in AHS, and I was really shocked it was him. Her PMs and social game were lackluster. Not bad, but missing the oomph. And moreover I was shocked to learn that I had managed to get one over on Mikester in a game by tricking him into going for a vote like that. That was the really shocking part. But honestly? I could see him surviving on this tribe playing like Lana. Just barely squeaking by like I said. Call him a darkhorse pick. Which is so odd to me because time was Mikester was a perpetual frontrunner.

I don't have as much insight on ztar honestly. I know he's a solid player socially, and brings it in challenges. I think its very unlikely that he isn't one of the top players on his tribe. The thing is that me and him have just never ended up really strongly crossing paths in games, so I just can't give a strong insight on him.

Strong pair though. I think circumstances may cause Mikester to quite surprise us.

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Candice (Smuffy) // John (Cards)

This is a great team. Their forum will probably be one of my favorites to read. Obviously Smuffy and cards are both people that I really love and so I'm rooting for them both. Cards having two wins now makes him less rootable because he's officially an overdog now, but he's always going to be one of my favorites. Smuff as Candice is such a mismatch but I'm excited to see how he plays it.

Cards is obviously going to be a social kingpin on any tribe he's on, every single time. He's always a contender. Some really horrid circumstances would have to go down for take him out of the race. He will likely run the loved ones tribe or very near to it. Smuff meanwhile can go either way since while he does understand the basic ideas behind socialization he does have certain qualities that quite simply rub some people the wrong way. In a strong cast like this that could be a bad sign for him. This will be my first time watching Smuffy play with a challenging premerge tribe (in Kid Nation his premerge tribe was a cakewalk for anyone with basic social skills). I see him probably fitting in very well at first, but maybe not quite making it if the returning players end up being the tribe that eats more loses before the switch perhaps. Again, like any player, whether or not he makes the switch stage and how well that stage goes for him will play a lot into his chances.


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Colton (T18) // Caleb (Paris)

Alol this is fucking beautiful!!! T18 has played Colton before right? In Kitty's One World game? And he was amazing and spot on in the part? I hope to see a repeat here, even if it becomes obvious its him. Players replaying their iconic portrayals in closed ID games is always a bit odd for me but I'm excited to see this play out.

This is one of two pairs that I could see ending up taking advantage of the switching place twists. The fact that they're a real life couple gives them the real life emotional bond strong enough that should Paris be booted early enough T18 may actually care enough to switch. Especially since T18 is actually very strong in challenges, while Paris is not. I would not be shocked at all to see a switch take place.

Paris could go either way. He's not too great at the social game of closed ID Invision style games. At least last time I was aware, maybe he's learned since then. I'm sure he's at least learned the basics. And maybe that will get him by but I'm not counting on it. Too strong of a tribe. Colton meanwhile even with a grating in character performance for a terrible human being will still work his social game through it and be one of the kingpins of the returning players tribe.

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Gervase (Goo) // Marissa (FDE)

I feel like I'm one of the only people around here who actually understand how much potential Goo has to play hard and well when he's motivated. Sadly he hasn't been motivated in forever. But trust me if you had seen him play in Cat's Lackadaisy and Final Fantasy Tactics Advance 2 games you would know. He played both of those games brilliantly. Not the most difficult cast to do that with, to be fair, but he was a joy to watch both times. He was entertaining to watch as hell, but his most unique quality that separated him from the pack was his strategic innovation. He's really capable of thinking outside the box and throwing some real strategic curveballs into the game and I think its quite impressive.

So god do I hope he shocks us all and brings it here. Maybe playing with FDE will be that motive considering how tight they are. But considering how FDE seems to barely care about ORGs either its probable to me that they'll both just troll and go out early. And it sucks. I like FDE too, and I know he has it in him to do well when he tries, but a few ORGing experiences that happened with him made him decide to never really care that hard about ORGs again or so he's told me.

But hey if they both bring their A game I'll be damn happy and I could see them being dark horses and fitting in with their tribes. I'd just really love to see the goo I saw in Cat's first two games come out again. I really would.


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Kat (Yope) // Hayden (Chad)

Yope's another player where I feel like I'm one of the few who has seen him at his best socially and not everyone totally gets how great he can be. Yope is certainly a player who can go either way depending on his motivation and the fact that he's hosting his own game right now certainly doesn't bode well but I do think this is a strong pair and Yope could do rather well. Even lazy Yope isn't all that bad. I actually found Sonya in Mortal Kombat (probably Yope's most outwardly lazy performance) pretty likeable. Personally.

Chad is obviously one of the best and I can't see him not progressing at least to the switch stage. Obviously bad luck can start getting in his way starting then, but he will obviously be one of the top players on the loved ones and call a lot of the shots on there. When Chad is in a game you have to put him on your list of potential winners. He's simply one of the best, end of.

Also their forum will be really entertaining for sure. Look forward to that.


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Laura (MPeé) // Ciera (Bjork)

Obviously the big question here is will being partnered with Bjork actually motivated MPeé to play all out and bring the A game? I hope so. I really hope so. Full force MP is a joy to watch, and I want to see it here. Bjork basically always brings it and will obviously fit in and do well on their tribe. Thats not even in question. And they're both strong in challenges so I don't see them switching spots, especially since MP would be more likely to land on Redemption First. The only scenario I see a switch happening is bjork landing there by some poor luck and MP deciding to go since MP is just more comfortable winning her way back in than trying to socialize.

If MP brings it as Laura she will go far, its hard to solidly predict that it will happen because of MP's track record but if anything will motivate MP it will be this scenario. So I'm going to... cautiously have faith.

Oh and this will be another fun forum to read.


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Monica (Melanie) // Brad (Notre)

I adore this team. Awesome oldschool shit right here. Two of the only two players still bumping around that started playing before me. I'm rooting for them for sure.

This is the other pair where I could see the swap being used. Notre genuinely cares about Melanie I think. So that emotional bond is there, but add in the fact that Melanie is not very good in challenges and notre is great and its just the perfect motive. I'd go as far as to say that I expect it will happen if Monica gets booted before Brad premerge. Its the perfect setup.

They actually in a way have a similar social game, in that they're shorter more frequent PMers rather than longer/substantial but less frequent. They both are very capable of being occasionally charming to certain people and its always hard to be sure where exactly they will end up on their tribes. Notre's challenge skills should help him out if he gets a chance to show them off.

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Rupert (Author) // Laura (Llama)

I don't know much about Llama as a player. He was Daredevil right? Yeah he's uh... out of his depth in this game and is practically assured to be the first boot from his tribe in my opinion. Author has some level of chops and can work it on his own. I think there are certainly better on his tribe and in the game but I see him standing at worst "a shot". (again my detailed bootlist should make up for the generalness of these writeups).

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Tina (ILT) // Katie (Tara)

Oh god I'm not going to enjoy this. These two are obnoxious together. Couldn't it have been taylor and ILT instead? At least that way they wouldn't be obnoxiously sexual with each other. God I really hope they realize that its incest and just keep away from that shit but I'm afraid there's just no limits with these two.

Combined with the fact that Katie reminds me of my ex for some reason I want Tara out of this game asap.

Tara's very hit or miss socially and we all know that. She can really work it or flop completly, or she can work it at first but flop later because she over plays or gets tempermental. I see that probably happening sometime before the swap honestly with her. Meanwhile ILT is a social god almost all the time and will probably fit in with his tribe and go farish at LEAST just by default. ILT is at his best though when he's playing a younger pretty girl so I'm interested to see if he can honestly even work it as Tina? Not that ILT can't do it he can and he probably will but I'm intruiged.


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Tyson (Taterman) // Rachel (Spragen)

Tater's good but he's a rare player that can be significantly disadvantaged by being ID'd, as much as I hate it. If he can hide his ID then he'll fit in socially and do very well. He knows how to PM. They're dryish sometimes but long and content filled enough to land in a majority early on most of the time.

I don't know SHIT about spragen that I can remember but I hear good things? So he'll probably do well I guess? lol.

K I'm doing my boot order in a separate post because the formatting is getting annoying with all this shit above it.
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Cao Boi
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Projected Boot Order: (I'm going to randomize tribe immunities and pretend individual immunities don't exist, but I AM including redemption island)

Round 1

First two boots: Laura B (Llama) Gervase (Goo)

Neither partner switches. Galang wins immunity

Vote out: Marissa (FDE)

Duel: Gervase and Marissa stay alive

20th: Laura B (Llama)

Round 2

Tadhanna wins immunity

Vote out: Monica (Melanie)

But Brad switches out for Monica

Duel: Brad and Gervase stay alive

19th: Marissa (FDE)

Round 3 (Double boot? Right?)

Tadhanna: Katie (Tara) (she melts down)
Galang: Laura (MPeé)

Duel: Laura and Brad stay alive

18th: Katie (mistresstara)
17th: Gervase (goo)

Round 4

Ugh swaps are horrible for super specific predictions cause they're random? Annoying. Because someone getting swap fucked in this is like totally up to chance. But whatever... the new tribes that I randomized were

♦ TADHANA ♦

Aras - ztar
John - cards
Kat - Yope
Tyson - Taterman
Colton - Teighteen
Rachel - spragenspelt
Rupert - author999


♦ GALANG ♦

Caleb - Paris Hilton
Ciera - bjorkrazy
Hayden - Chad
Vytas - Mikester
Monica - Melanie
Candice - Smuffz
Tina - ILT


Round 5

Immunity: Tadhana

Boot: Vytas (Mikester) (Melanie sticks with the Loved ones tribe, with no pairs on this tribe its kind of that simple and Mikester impresses the least)

Duel: Laura and Brad stay alive

16th: Vytas (Mikester)

Immunity: Galang

lol this is hard? and the clearest example about how doing a "specific" prediction will mess up some shit because someone good will go down early but whatever I'm committed.

Boot: John - cards (Rachel has Tyson to speak up for her and so John is on the outs)

Duel: Brad and Laura stay alive

15th: John (cards)

Obviously thats pretty unlikely but whatever people get swap fucked sometimes.

Round 6

Immunity: Tadhanna

Boot: Candice (Smuffz)

Duel: Brad returns

14th: Candice (smuffz
13th: Laura (MP)

Merge

I'm bored and give up on being specific

12th: Rupert - author999
11th: Tina - ILT
10th: Rachel - spragenspelt
9th: Caleb - Paris Hilton
8th: Tyson - Taterman
7th: Ciera - bjorkrazy
6th: Brad- Notremojo
5th: Kat - Yope
Returns - Ciera/Bjork
5th: Monica - Melanie
4th: Ciera - bjorkrazy
3rd: Colton - T18
2nd: Aras - ztar
1st: Hayden - Chad

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Candice
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Ponderosa
Well at least I exceeded expectations!
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